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欧元区主权债务危机与欧元的前景 被引量:9

欧元区主权债务危机与欧元的前景
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摘要 欧元区并不是一个真正意义上的最优货币区,各国之间差异较大,财政政策与货币政策难以协调,欧元的福利外溢和隐形担保作用激励逆向选择和道德风险,这是促成欧元区债务危机的重要推手。欧元区主权债务危机短期内将削弱欧元的稳定和国际地位,但欧元和欧元区的"系统重要性"可以保证欧元不会崩溃。欧元区如能借机务实推动改革,中长期欧元仍将在国际货币体系中发挥重要作用。 The euro area can not make up a real optimal currency area(OCA), as great diversities exist among member countries, the cooperation between the fiscal policy and monetary policy is difficult, the adverse selection and moral hazard caused by welfare spillover and implicit guarantees of the euro. The euro plays an important role in the development of the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area. The sover- eign debt crisis may undermine the stability and the international status of the euro currency in the short term, but in the long run the euro will not collapse because of the "systemic importance " of the euro and the euro area. If the euro area could push forward reforms, the euro will maintain its important role in the international currency system.
作者 温军伟
机构地区 中国人民银行
出处 《金融理论与实践》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第1期44-50,共7页 Financial Theory and Practice
关键词 最优货币区 主权债务危机 欧元 Optimal Currency Area Sovereign Debt Crisis Euro
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参考文献11

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同被引文献79

  • 1童兆坤,幸理.我国财政政策与货币政策的协调配合问题研究[J].武汉工业学院学报,2006,25(4):86-89. 被引量:5
  • 2李苗苗.浅析我国国际储备管理策略[J].时代经贸(下旬),2007,5(09X):75-76. 被引量:1
  • 3黄纯迪.三元悖论与欧元危机.财经视点,2012(2).
  • 4汪昌云,戴稳胜,张思成.基于EVIEWS的金融计量学[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2011.
  • 5缪建民.欧债危机与全球经济形势展望[EB/OL].[2012-04-21].http://finance.sina.tom.on/.
  • 6管涛.美欧债务危机的风险与对策[EB/OL].(2012-04-07)[2012-04-211.http://www.cf40.org.cn/plus/view.php?aid=5226.
  • 7Atish, R. G. , Jonathan, D. O. & Mahvash, S. Q.. Fiscal space and sovereign risk pricing in a cur- rency union [ J ]. Journal of International Money and Fi- nance, 2013(34) : 131 - 163.
  • 8Aure' lie, C. ,Je' rome, C. , Etienne, F., & Sonia, P.. Governments under influence: country inter- actions in discretionary fiscal policy [ J ]. Economic Mod- elling,2013 (30) : 79 -88.
  • 9Aristeidis, S. , & Ioannis, T.. How can a small country affect the European economy? The Greek conta- gion phenomenon [ J ]. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, 2013 (25) : 18 -32.
  • 10Alexander, K., Mario, C., Ronald, M., & Stefan, S.. Does the euro dominate Central and Eastern European money markets? [ J ]. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2013(32) : 700 -718.

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