摘要
在分析城市化、工业化和农业现代化协调发展机理的基础上,通过设置"三化"协调发展的综合评价指标体系,运用复杂系统理论构建区域"三化"协调发展评价模型,对2006-2010年江西、湖南、湖北和河南"三化"协调发展水平进行定量测算。结果表明:中部四省的"三化"协调发展整体上处于上升趋势,2010年都处于中级协调阶段;城市化和工业化是江西、湖南和河南"三化"协调发展的驱动力量,而农业现代化是制约因素;工业化和农业现代化是湖北"三化"协调的驱动因素,而城市化是制约因素;工业化率是影响江西"三化"协调的主要指标,农业劳动生产率则是影响湖南和湖北"三化"协调发展的主要指标;而第三产业劳动生产率是影响河南"三化"协调发展的主要指标。最后,提出了促进中部四省"三化"协调发展的建议与对策。
On the basis of analysing the coordinative development mechanism among urbanization, industrialization and agricultural modernization, through the establishment of the coordinative development of the comprehensive evaluation index system, the paper use complex system theory to construct the coordinative development model to quantitatively calculate coordinative development level among urbanization, industrialization and agricultural modernization in Jiangxi, Hunan, Hubei and Henan from 2006 to 2010. The results show that： they are on the whole in a rising trend, and 2010 at intermediate coordinative level; in Jiangxi, Hunan and Henan, the main driving force of the coordinated development comes from industrialization and urbanization, and the agricultural modernization is the limiting factor; but in Hubei, industrialization and agricultural modernization are driving factors, and urbanization is the limiting factor; industrialized rate is the main indicator to affect the coordinative development in Jiangxi, the main indicator to affect the coordinative development in Hunan and Hubei is the agricultural labor productivity, and the tertiary industry labor productivity is the main indicator to affect the coordinative development in Henan. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the coordinate development of four provinces in central China urbanization, industrialization and agricultural modernization are proposed.
出处
《农业现代化研究》
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第1期1-7,共7页
Research of Agricultural Modernization
基金
河南省重点软科学研究计划项目"推动河南经济发展方式转变的政策研究"(编号:102400410001)
河南省社会科学院委托重点课题"中原经济区新型域镇化路径研究"(编号:11G03)
关键词
中国中部地区
城市化
工业化
农业现代化
协调发展
复杂系统理论
the central region of China
urbanization
industrialization
agricultural modernization
coordinative development
complex system theory
