基于产业结构和居民消费视角的政府投资效应研究被引量：10

Empirical Research on the Effect of Government Investment Based on Consumption and Economical Structure

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摘要本文通过将居民消费内生化,构建投入产出扩展模型,侧重考察当前居民收入、消费及产业结构对我国政府投资效应的影响,并结合相关数据进行实证研究。结果表明,平均消费扩张效应对投资产出约有44%的贡献;政府投资不同产业部门对经济拉动的能力存在差异;政府投资所拉动的经济增长在各产业间分布极不均衡。基于实证结果,本文认为拉动居民消费和升级产业结构是我国政府投资谋求长期增益的有效途径。 This paper constructs an extended Input-Output model which takes consumption as endogenous item, and an empirical research is done by the related data. The findings are listed as follows： total consumption effect makes up about 44 % of the total output; equal investment in different sectors will result in different impact on the total amount of the national economy; present industrial structure makes an extremely uneven distribution of economic growth. The results show that policies such as the increase of consumption and the upgrade of economical structure could be strongly helpful for the accomplishments of Chinese development strategies.

作者秦学志张康

机构地区大连理工大学工商管理学院大连商品交易所

出处《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第12期37-54,共18页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基金国家自然科学基金(71171032 71101015) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(DUT11RW202 DUT10ZD107 DUT10RW107) 教育部博士点基金(20090041110009)联合资助

关键词政府投资投入产出扩展模型 Keynes乘数 Government Investment Input-Output Extended Model Keynesian Multiplier

分类号 F223 [经济管理—国民经济]

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