摘要
关井政策是1999年以来煤炭行业最为重要的产业政策之一,对于其影响特别是对煤矿安全的影响一直存在争论。本文归纳、分析和检验了煤炭行业关井政策对乡镇煤矿(关闭对象)生产安全影响的规制与产权这两种对立观点。规制观点认为该政策有助于企业提高安全投入从而减少死亡率;产权观点认为该政策造成了企业产权不稳定从而增加了死亡率。本文的理论分析表明两种观点均具有合理性。利用1995-2005年以来省际平行数据和双差法的经验检验表明,关井政策显著地减少了乡镇煤矿产量,但却导致其死亡率显著上升。这意味着产权观点更符合事实。
Shutdown policy is one of the most important industrial policies in China＇s coal mining industry since year 1999.There have been continuing controversies of its effects especially on coalmine work safety.The paper summarizes,analyzes and tests two contradicting views on the effects of shutdown policy on mortality of township-and-village coalmines,its targeting firms.The regulative view believes that the policy induces firms to increase safety input thus decrease mortality.The property right view instead argues that the policy disturbs the property right stability thus increases mortality.A simple theoretic model is built to analyze the rationales of the two views.It then uses the difference-in-difference method and provincial panel data in year 1995-2005 to empirically test policy effect.The policy significantly decreases output yet increases mortality of township-and-village coalmines.The result is consistent with the property right view.
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第10期12-26,共15页
China Soft Science
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(10Zd&007)
清华大学中国与世界研究中心"经济发展与经济结构"研究课题
关键词
规制
产权
关井政策
煤矿安全
双差法
regulation
property right
shutdown policy
coalmine safety
difference-in-difference
