摘要
在分析汽车供应链风险因素的基础上,应用系统动力学理论与方法,对汽车供应链安全水平进行动态预测,研究不同风险因素对汽车供应链整体安全水平的影响,并通过仿真计算、对比分析各因素的风险防范投入增加率对整体安全水平影响的大小,求证风险防范投入与汽车供应链安全水平的相关性。仿真分析表明,该方法为汽车供应链风险管理提供了一个新的思路。
After analyzing the risk factors in the automobile supply chain, the paper applies system dynamics theory and methodology to forecasting the dynamic level of the automobile supply chain, studies the impacts of different risk factors on the overall safety level of the supply chain and, through analyzing and comparing the influence of increased investment for the prevention of different risks on the overall safety of the supply chain in a simulation experiment, proves the relationship between risk prevention investment and automobile supply chain safety level.
出处
《物流技术》
2011年第9期131-134,137,共5页
Logistics Technology
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(DL11BB27)
关键词
汽车供应链
风险因素
系统动力学
仿真
automobile supply chain
risk factors
system dynamics
simulation
