摘要
本文基于辽宁省1978—2008年的GDP和能源消费统计数据，应用协整技术对辽宁省能源消费与经济增长的关系进行实证研究。结果表明，辽宁省能源消费与经济增长间存在着协整关系。并得到两者长期的协整方程。通过Granger检验，发现经济增长是能源消费的Granger原因。通过建立误差修正模型，发现误差修正项系数为负，符合反向修正机制，说明能源消费与经济增长能够保持长期稳定均衡的关系。最后通过分析比较结果，提出相关的政策建议。
Based on GDP and energy consumption statistics between 1978 and 2008, this paper has applied eointegration techniques to study relationships between energy eonsuraption and economic growth in Liaoning. It is proved that there is a longterm balance between energy consumption and economic growth, and the eointegration equation is gained. Through granger test, we discover that energy con- sumption and eeonomle growth is oneway Granger causality, namely, economic growth is the granger causality of energy eonsumptlon. After error correction model was established, we see that error correction coeffeient is negative which meets reverse correction mechanism, and it fully explains that energy consumption and economic growth can maintain long-term balance relationships. Finally, some relevant proposals are given after analyzing research results.
出处
《工业技术经济》
CSSCI
2011年第8期43-47,共5页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
关键词
能源消费经济增长协整建议
energy consumption
economic growth
cointegration
proposals
