摘要
选取4个影响服务业发展的因素和决定服务贸易的2个因素,建立VAR模型,分析我国服务业与服务贸易发展二者之间的关系。通过Granger因果分析和脉冲响应函数的实证研究,得出现阶段我国服务业与服务贸易之间尚未形成良性的协调发展机制,即服务业与服务贸易之间不存在相互促进的关系。
Service industry has become the largest industry and the main driving force of China＇s national economy and services trade has grown into an important factor to guarantee the stable growth of the world trade.This paper examines the relationship between China＇s service industry and trade in services.4 factors about service industry and 2 factors about services trade are selected to make a VAR model.By Granger Causal Analysis and Impulse Response Function,the paper concludes that the coordinated development mechanism has not been established in China＇s service industry and trade in services so that they can not achieve mutual development.
出处
《江西农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2011年第2期102-109,130,共9页
Journal of Jianxi Agricultural University :Social Sciences Edition
关键词
服务业
服务贸易
协同性
因果检验
脉冲响应函数
service industry
trade in services
relationship
granger causal analysis
impulse response function
