摘要
基于集体林权制度改革后辽宁省11个县(市)409户林农的抽样调查数据,针对农户的林地流转行为运用二分类logistic回归模型,分别建立农户综合流转模型、流入模型与流出模型3种计量模型,定量分析农户林地流转行为选择的主要影响因素及其影响程度,并分别对其影响方向及影响程度进行了具体分析。结果表明:初始承包地面积、流转期限、林地流转难易程度对农户林地流入和流出行为均具有显著影响;户主年龄、家庭劳动力数量、非农林收入、是否拥有林业技术、交通条件对农户林地流出行为具有显著影响;是否有林业收入、林龄、对林改政策的了解程度、是否知道林地流转服务中心对农户林地流入行为具有显著影响。
This article uses the sampling data of 11 counties（cities）409 household forest worker＇s in Liaoning province after the collective ownership of forests reform,utilizes Two Classifies Logistic Regression Model direct at the peasant household forest land circulation behavior,establishes the respective model of peasant household inflow,outflow and synthesis circulation,quantitatively analyses the major influencing factor and level of the occurrence of peasant household forest land circulation behavior occurs.The result indicates that the Initial contract area,land circulation deadline and degrees of difficulty in forest land circulation have remarkable impact on peasant household forest land inflow and outflow;the householder＇s age,forest land parcel number,non-farming and forestry income,the forestry technology and traffic conditions have the remarkable influence on the outflow behavior of the peasant household;Whether to have the forestry income,forestry age,the knowledge of the forest tenure policy,whether to know the forest land circulation service center have the remarkable influence on the inflow behavior of the peasant household;And separately analyses the degree of influence.
出处
《林业经济问题》
北大核心
2011年第2期121-126,共6页
Issues of Forestry Economics
基金
辽宁省软科学重点重大研究计划资助项目(2009401028)
