摘要
高技术产业化过程是一种高度复杂的创新过程, 由于其高度的创新性, 人们很难获取关于这一过程的比较完整、准确的信息,即信息是残缺的.由于信息残缺, 使得直接定量评价风险的大小是不可能的.但风险评价结果对高技术产业化决策具有指导意义. 所以, 评价工作是必要的.本文通过对现有风险评价方法的比较, 将AHP法引入到高技术产业化风险评价中, 并以某高技术产业化项目为分析对象,
The high\|tech industrialization procedure is a very complicated and innovative procedure. Since it is a highly innovative activity, it is difficult to obtain the perfect and accurate information about the procedure. That is, the information is uncompleted. The authors study the indexes and methods to evaluate the risk of high\|tech industrialization under the condition of information\|lack. Considering the characteristics of AHP method, we use the AHP method to evaluate the risk of high\|tech industrialization. The assessment result is reasonable.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
1999年第9期116-119,共4页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金
国家自然科学基金
关键词
高技术产业化
风险评价
AHP
hight\|tech
industrialization
risk assessment
AHP