摘要
本研究对新型农村养老保险制度的财政负担进行了测算,研究表明：在低水平、全覆盖目标下,到2020年各级财政累计总投入可以控制在9000亿元左右,中央财政投入占到70%以上;若＂十二五＂期间提前实现全覆盖,到2015年中央财政累计投入将不超过3000亿元,地方财政累计投入将不超过1200亿元;全覆盖实现后中央财政每年投入约700亿元可以保障新农保制度运行;提前实现全覆盖不会大幅度增加未来10年财政总投入,而主要对今后几年的财政投入提出相对更高要求。＂十二五＂期间实现全覆盖总体上不会对中央和地方财政造成太大负担,但是,经济欠发达地区地方财政（尤其县级财政）分担压力不容忽视。全覆盖目标的提前实现要求＂十二五＂期间加大中央财政投入,以递增的速度提高新农保覆盖率,加大对中西部地区政策倾斜力度,引导地方政府积极配合。
The purpose of this study is to measure financial burden of New Rural Social Old Age Insurance System.The results show that the cumulative financial input by the central and local governments from now until 2020 will be controlled not more than about 900 billion under a goal of overall coverage with low-level benefits for the system.The proportion of the central finance to the total input reach 70 percent above.If the overall coverage for the system will be accomplished ahead of schedule during the twelfth five-year plan,the cumulative financial input by the central government from now until 2015 will be not more than 300 billion,and the input by the local governments over the same period not more than 120 billion.After realization of a goal of the overall coverage,the central government needs to input 70 billion per year to maintain the system work on.The overall coverage ahead of schedule don＇t lead to a very large increase of total financial input in next ten years,but require to input more,especially for the central government in next few years.To accomplish the overall coverage ahead of schedule during the twelfth five-year plan,do not induce large financial burden in general for the central and local governments,however,impacts of that on local finance,especially for the county-level finance in less-developing areas also cannot be ignored.To come to achieve a goal of the overall coverage ahead of schedule,the central government should increase further input during the twelfth five-year,provide policy supports more for middle and western areas and coordinate with the local governments so as to raise coverage for the system at a increasing speed.
出处
《社会保障研究》
2011年第1期57-66,共10页
Social Security Studies
基金
中国社会科学院重点课题“农村养老体制改革设计与衔接问题研究”(编号:YZDB2010-60)资助
关键词
新型农村养老保险
财政负担
全覆盖
“十二五”
new rural social old age insurance system
financial burden
overall coverage
the twelfth five-year plan
