摘要
文章将传统财务预测与基于系统动力学财务预测作对比,分析企业现金流在经营活动、投资活动、筹资活动和分配活动之间的关系,建立企业现金流预测模型。同时以某上市公司的财务数据为例,对该企业未来三年的现金流的变化趋势进行预测。该模型的建立有助于为企业管理层提供决策参考。
This paper compared the traditional financial predication with financial predication based on system dynamics,and then analyzed the connection of cash flow between operating activities,investment activity,financing activity and distribution activity.Then it established an enterprise cash flow prediction model.Taking financial data of a public company as an example,the paper forecasted the change trend of cash flow in the enterprise within the next three years.It was helpful to provide decision-making for managers.
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
2011年第8期103-105,共3页
East China Economic Management
基金
浙江省教育厅2009年度科研计划项目(Y200909574)
关键词
系统动力学
现金流
模型
实证
system dynamics
cash flow
model
demonstration
