摘要
随着北京市轨道交通的快速发展,每年的新线开通都将对线网各线的客流分布产生较大的影响,但新线可研多注重新线自身的预测,缺乏线网整体变化的预测分析。结合线网客流变化的关键因素,探索利用新线可研和现有OD数据预测新线开通后线网客流的方法,并以北京地铁4号线开通为例进行验证,从一定程度上证明该方法的可行性和适用性。
With the rapid development of urban rail transit network,great changes will take place in passenger flow features with the opening of new lines each year.Yet the feasibility study of a new line only pays attention to forecasting passenger flow features of the new line while igoring the situation of the whole network.Considering the key factors influencing passenger flow changes,this paper,based on the forecasting data from feasibility study of the new line and available OD data,studies the method to forecast the impact on passenger flow features of urban rail transit network caused by opening a new line.The method has been applied to the operation of Beijing metro Line 4 and results showed that it is feasible and adaptable.
出处
《都市快轨交通》
2011年第2期46-49,共4页
Urban Rapid Rail Transit
关键词
新线开通
OD数据
线网
客流特征
北京地铁4号线
operation of new line
OD（Origin Destination） data
urban rail transit network
passenger flow features
Beijing metro Line 4
