摘要
本文利用贝叶斯判别准则， 提出了一种确定大小地震比例的新方法， 并以１９８９ 年山西阳高地震和１９８３ 年山东菏泽地震为例， 说明了此方法在地震预报中应用的可能性， 并说明对弱地震活动地区， 本方法具有明显的可行性。
In this paper, we offered a new method to determine the proportion of the large to small earthquakes based on the Bayes decision rule. Taking the 1989 Yanggao earthquake in Shanxi Province and the 1983 Heze earthquake in Shandong Province as the examples, the possibility of application of the method to earthquake prediction has been shown. It is stressed that this method has obvious advantage in low seismicity region.
出处
《地震研究》
CSCD
北大核心
1999年第3期260-264,共5页
Journal of Seismological Research
基金
地震联合基金
中希地震科技合作项目
关键词
大小地震比例
地震预报
地震前兆
Determination, large and small earthquake, proportion, new method, earthquake prediction, application
