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Turnbull方法在四川省结核病空间聚集性分析中的应用初探 被引量:4

Study on the Turnbull method application in the spatial cluster of the tuberculosis in Sichuan Province
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摘要 目的分析2004-2007年四川省结核病发病的空间聚集性特征。方法运用Turnbull方法对结核病发病进行空间聚集性分析。结果 2004-2007年四川省结核发病率呈逐年增高趋势,空间聚集性探测结果显示4年均存在具有空间聚集的区域,主要位于川东、川北和川西地区,且4年中空间聚集区域有由川东向川北再向川西移动的趋势。结论运用Turnbull方法能够探测出发病具有空间聚集性的主要区域及其强度顺位,可为确定重点防控及监控区域提供依据。 Objective To analyze the spatial cluster of tuberculosis in Sichuan Province,2004-2007.Methods Based on the ORACLE data released by national CDC and the data of geographic information and population in Sichuan,the spatial cluster of tuberculosis were analyzed by using Turnbull method.Results The results showed that the incidence rates of tuberculosis had a trend of increase from 2004 to 2007 in Sichuan Province.The analysis of spatial cluster showed that there were some tuberculosis space-clustered areas,which centralized in the northern part,western part and eastern part of Sichuan Province.In addition,space-clustered areas of tuberculosis had a trend of moving from the eastern part to the northern part and then to the western part of Sichuan Province in the four years.Conclusions The Turnbull's method can detect major local spatial clusters regarding tuberculosis occurrence and the cluster intensity ranking in Sichuan,based on which prevention and surveillance locations are scientifically prioritized for this communicable disease and local health authorities highlight disease prevention and treatment and resource allocation.
出处 《中华疾病控制杂志》 CAS 2011年第5期441-444,共4页 Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention
基金 国家科技重大专项项目(2009ZX10004-201) 教育部科学技术研究重点项目(109135) 卫生公益性行业科研专项经费项目(200802133)
关键词 Turnbull方法 结核 空间聚集性分析 Turnbull method Tuberculosis Spatial clustering analysis
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