摘要
经济发展的过程必然伴随着产业结构由低级到高级的演变过程。在对区域产业结构变动的一般模式分析的基础上,运用主成份分析方法,对山东省产业结构变动的影响因素进行了定量分析,将其归并为三个主因子:发展—消费因子、发展速度因子和城市—产业结构因子,即国家产业政策及经济发展水平是产业结构变动的最直接的因素;消费需求结构的升级是产业结构变动的主要拉动力;城市化水平及其自身结构的变动加速了山东产业结构的变动;进出口贸易的变化是促进山东产业结构变动的又一重要因素。
Economic development is inevitably accompanied by the evolution of the industrial structure.Based on the analysis of the general pattern of changes in regional industrial structure,principal component analysis is applied to analyzing quantitatively the determinants of changes in industrial structure in Shandong.This paper identifies three determinants： the development-consumption factor,development speed and urban industrial structure.In other words,national industrial policy and economic growth are the most direct factors promoting provincial industrial structure;the upgrading of consumption structure is a major pulling power of changes in industrial structure;urbanization and the changes in its structure accelerate the provincial industrial structural changes;changes in trade also serve as an important factor of industrial structural upgrading.
出处
《山东大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第3期107-112,共6页
Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
基金
山东省社科重点项目“外商直接投资的区位选择及其对区域经济发展的影响”(10BJGJ18),“山东省与东部沿海省份比较研究”(06BJJ021)联合资助
关键词
主成份分析
产业结构变动
山东省
principal component analysis
industrial structure transformation
Shandong province
