摘要
描述了改革开放30年来江苏省高淳县的固定资产投资与经济增长的状况,并运用协整分析和格兰杰因果检验等其他计量经济分析方法,对该县的固定资产投资与经济增长的长期均衡关系进行验证分析,结果表明,固定资产投资与第二产业是双向的格兰杰因果关系,与第一产业关系尚不明显,而第三产业是固定资产投资的格兰杰原因且第三产业增长变化与固定资产投资变化是负向关系。
Fixed assets investment and economic growth in Gaochun County were investigated in 30 years period of China reforming and opening up.Relationship between fixed assets investment and economic growth of the county were analyzed by econometrics analysis methods of co-integration analysis and Granger causality test.Results show that there exists a two-way Granger causality in the relationship between fixed assets investment and secondary industry,and the relationship between fixed assets investment and primary industry is unclear;tertiary industry is the Granger cause of investment and there exists a negative relationship between the changes of tertiary industry and fixed assets investment.
出处
《武汉理工大学学报（信息与管理工程版）》
CAS
2011年第2期305-308,共4页
Journal of Wuhan University of Technology：Information & Management Engineering
基金
江苏省社科研究基金资助项目
关键词
协整
格兰杰因果检验
固定资产投资
GDP
cointegration
Granger causality test
fixed assets investment
GDP
