摘要
近十年,中国和澳大利亚农水产品贸易发展迅速,互为重要的农水产品贸易伙伴。目前,中国是澳大利亚的第三大农水产品出口市场,仅次于日本和美国;澳大利亚则位列美国、阿根廷、巴西之后,是中国的第四大进口农水产品来源国。采用G-L指数、协整分析技术和Granger因果关系检验对中澳农水产品产业内贸易水平、变化趋势及影响因素分析表明,从总体水平看,中国和澳大利亚农水产品产业内贸易水平较低,仅个别农水产品产业内贸易水平较高。从变化趋势看,加权产业内贸易指数呈平稳递增态势,波动幅度不大,仅个别年份略有下降。从影响因素看,规模经济与产业内贸易指数存在正向协整关系,收入差距与之存在反向关系,而贸易开放度与其协整关系不明显。
The paper calculated the G-L intra-industry trade index for each type of agricultural and aquatic products between China and Australia.The conclusion shows that the overall level of agricultural intra-industry trade between China and Australia is relatively low,but the level of aquatic intra-industry trade is higher.This article also applies co-integration analysis and Granger causality test to study the long-term equilibrium among intra-industry trade,trade openness and per capita income gap.The result indicates that there are positive co-integration relationships between trade openness and intra-industry trade.Economic growth is the cause of increasing intra-industry trade in agricultural and aquatic products.But the relationship between intra-industry trade and per capita income gap is less significant.
出处
《中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
2011年第1期46-51,共6页
Journal of Ocean University of China(Social Sciences)
基金
2010年度山东省软科学研究计划重大招标项目"山东半岛蓝色经济区海洋优势产业发展战略研究"阶段性研究成果(2010RKMA1002)
关键词
农水产品
产业内贸易
G-L指数
协整分析
agricultural and aquatic products
intra-industry trade
G-L index
co-integration analysis