摘要
建立铁岭市工业废水排放量预测模型,预测2010~2015年铁岭市工业废水排放量。根据工业废水排放量数据序列特征,将灰色系统理论GM（1,1）模型的建模方法用于构建铁岭市工业废水排放量预测模型,并用GM（1,1）残差模型对模型进行修正。利用1999~2007年铁岭市工业废水排放量原始数据与预测数据比较分析,误差较小,预测模型可靠。利用GM（1,1）建立的工业废水排放量预测模型为铁岭市经济发展及水污染控制提供科学依据。
The model is built to predict industrial wastewater discharge in Tieling City from 2010 to 2015.According to the characteristics of the data series about industrial wastewater discharge,the GM（1,1） model of gray system is employed to build the model for predicting the amounts of Tieling City＇s industrial wastewater discharge,and the prediction model is modified by using GM（1,1） residual model.Comparing the real data series of Tieling City＇s industrial wastewater discharge from 1999 to 2007 with the predicting data,the errors between real values and the prediction ones are relative small.The experimental results show that the model established by GM（1,1） is availability and more accuracy.The model can be used to provide scientific basis for Tieling City＇s economic development and the water pollution control.
出处
《环境保护科学》
CAS
2011年第1期31-33,59,共4页
Environmental Protection Science
关键词
铁岭市
灰色模型
残差模型
工业废水排放量
预测
Tieling City Gray Model Residual Model Industrial Wastewater Discharge Prediction
