摘要
根据单位根检验、协整检验和因果关系检验等计量方法,利用浙江省自改革开放30多年来物流业和国民经济发展的年度经济数据,对浙江省物流与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。实证结果表明:浙江省经济的快速发展有效促进了物流周转量、物流业固定资产投资额、物流业产值的不断增加;但现代物流业仍处在初级阶段,对经济发展的推动作用不显著,应进一步寻求物流产业的整合集聚和优化升级。
Using the data of logistics and national economic development of Zhejiang Province from 1978 to 2009, this paper analyzes their relation according to Unit root test, Cointegration test and Granger causality test. The result indicates that in Zhejiang Province, the rapid economic growth has promoted the development of logistics significantly, but logistics is still in the primary stage and has unobvious promotion effect to economic growth.
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
2011年第3期6-8,共3页
East China Economic Management
基金
浙江师范大学青年基金项目(SKQN200808)
浙江省自然科学基金项目(Y6080215)
关键词
协整
格兰杰因果关系
物流
经济增长
co-integration
granger causality
logistics
economic growth
