摘要
在分析自主择业阶段大学生就业现状的基础上,检验大学生就业与经济增长之间的关系,测算大学生就业对潜在GDP损失率的影响,并对大学生就业进行统计预测,最后给出提高大学生就业的政策建议。结果表明:大学生就业与经济增长之间存在正向的相关关系,每增加1个单位的大学生就业将带来642.752个单位的GDP增长;初始就业率不高所导致的潜在GDP年均损失率高达27%;未来大学生的初始就业率有进一步下降的态势。
Based on the analysis of the employment status of university graduates in the independent innovation stage, this paper tested the relationship between the employment status of university graduates and economic growth and provided the measurement of u- niversity graduates employment＇s influence on potential loss of GDP and statistical forecast of future university graduates employment, with corresponding policy suggestions on university graduates employment in the end. The results showed that, a positive correlation ex- isted between university graduates employment and economic growth, and every one unit increase in employment of college graduates would bring 642. 752 units of GDP growth ; the annual loss rate of potential GDP is 27% caused by the low initial employment rate ; and the initial employment rate of university graduates shows a tendency of further decline.
出处
《科技与经济》
CSSCI
2011年第1期90-93,共4页
Science & Technology and Economy
基金
国家自然科学基金项目--"考虑影响因素交互作用和能源回弹效应的能效政策分析模型"(项目编号:70873058项目负责人:周德群)成果之一
关键词
大学毕业生
潜在GDP
初始就业率
college graduates
potential GDP
initial employment rate
