摘要
文章采用宁波1985-2008年的行业数据,运用ADF单位根检验、EG两步法协整分析、格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型,对宁波服务业及其内部各主要行业发展与经济增长的关系进行实证研究。结果表明,服务业的发展与宁波经济增长存在着稳定的互为因果关系,但其内部各行业的发展与宁波经济增长的因果关系是有差异的。
This study is a positive analysis on relationship between service industry including its major sub-industries and economic growth in the city of Ningbo.The analysis is based on the industrial data from year 1985 to year 2008 and is carried out by applying ADF test,EG two-step approach,Co-integration Test,Granger Causality Test and ECM.The study shows that the relationship between service industry development and economic growth in Ningbo is a causal relationship however the relationship between its major sub-industries and economic growth is a different one.
出处
《浙江万里学院学报》
2010年第6期12-16,共5页
Journal of Zhejiang Wanli University
关键词
服务业
经济增长
协整分析
格兰杰因果检验
service industry
economic growth
Co-integration Test
Granger Causality Test
