摘要
韩国经济预计在2010年取得5.9%的增长率的基础上,2011年有望取得3.8%的经济增长。但是,由于中国和美国的经济复苏势头有回落的趋势,欧洲的财政危机仍有可能持续,使得韩国主要产业的出口和投资增幅预计都将回落,民间消费也因政策效果和资产效果的萎缩等原因很难期待继续保持上升势头。因此,韩国经济要在2011年复苏到金融危机以前的水平比较困难,这就要求韩国政府在制订经济刺激计划退出战略时更加慎重。
Korea＇s economy is expected to obtain 3.8% of economic growth in 2011,on the basis of 5.9% of economic growth obtained in 2010.However,with China and America＇s economic recovery momentum has trend of dropping,and European fiscal crisis could still continue,Korea＇s exports and capital investment growth in main industry are expected to recede.Private consumption is also difficult to expect continual rising because of the atrophy of the policy effect and asset effect.Therefore,the Korean economy in 2011 is difficult to return to the level before the financial crisis.And it also requires the Korean government being more careful and prudent in formulating exit strategy of the economic stimulus plan.
出处
《东北亚论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第1期92-99,共8页
Northeast Asia Forum
基金
教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金资助项目"朝鲜与韩国政治经济关系发展走势及对周边国家的影响"
关键词
2011韩国
经济
展望
经济增长率
民间投资
行业部门
经济刺激计划退出战略
2011
Korea
economy
outlook
economic growth rate
private investment
department industries
exit strategy of the economic stimulus plan
