摘要
运用计量模型方法研究自改革开放以来新疆产业结构与经济增长的相互关系。从两个角度入手,一方面,研究新疆在该时期各产业产值对经济增长的贡献程度;另一方面,研究新疆经济增长对各产业产值的影响。Chow Test结果表明,在样本期间内,产业结构演变的转折点在1991年。新疆经济增长主要依靠第二产业拉动。经济增长对各产业结构演变带来不同程度的影响,伴随着新疆生产总值的增加,第一产业产值对GDP的弹性下降,即第一产业增速放慢;第二产业产值对GDP的弹性增加,即第二产业增速变快;第三产业产值对GDP的弹性也下降,即第三产业增速放慢。
The paper uses econometric model to analyze the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth in Xinjiang on the two hands：On the one hand,the paper discusses that Xinjiang＇s each industrial GDP contributes to economic growth at this period;On the other hand,Xinjiang＇s economic growth has an effect on industrial GDP.The two important conclusions were drawn according to the empirical analysis.For one thing,Chow Test illustrates that the turning point of Xinjiang＇s industrial structure began from 1991 during the sample period.Xinjiang＇s economic growth mainly depends on the second industry;For another thing,economic growth has an variable effect on each industrial structural evolution.The first industry＇s GDP decreases as Xinjiang＇s GDP increases;The second industry＇s GDP increases as Xinjiang＇s GDP increases;The tertiary industry＇s GDP decreases as Xinjiang＇s GDP increases.
出处
《新疆农业大学学报》
CAS
北大核心
2010年第6期539-542,共4页
Journal of Xinjiang Agricultural University
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(70863010)
关键词
产业结构
经济增长
新疆
industrial structure
economic growth
Xinjiang
