经济开放对经济波动影响的实证研究被引量：4

An Empirical Research on the Influence of Economic Volatility of Economic Openness

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摘要长期以来,我们关注的是经济开放在促进我国经济增长中的积极作用,而忽视了经济开放对国内经济稳定的影响。本文利用1996—2007年期间我国省际面板数据实证分析了经济开放对国内经济波动的影响。得到的主要结论是,从全国样本来看,贸易开放有助于国内经济稳定,金融开放会加大国内经济波动程度;从分地区样本来看,贸易开放对经济波动的影响存在地区差异,东部和中部地区贸易依存度提高有助于降低经济波动程度,西部地区贸易依存度提高会加大地区经济波动程度,金融开放则会加大各地区经济的波动程度。 We have been focusing on the positive role of economic openness in pushing economic growth of China,but neglecting the influence of economic openness on the stability of domestic economy.This paper takes on the panel data of China between 1996 to 2007,and analyzes empirically the influence of economic openness on the volatility of domestic economy.The main conclusions are as following.In the first,from the countrywide sample,trade openness is in favor of the stability of the domestic economy,and financial openness enhances the degree of the domestic economic volatility.In the second,from the regional sample,trade openness has different influence on the regional economic volatility.Trade openness decreases the degree of the domestic economic stability in east and middle area,but increases the degree of the domestic economic stability in west area.Meanwhile,financial openness enhances the degree of the domestic economic stability in all areas.

作者陈建斌

机构地区中国人民银行南京分行

出处《南京财经大学学报》 2010年第5期1-8,共8页 Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics

关键词经济开放经济波动面板数据实证研究 economic openness economic volatility panel data empirical research

分类号 F014.36 [经济管理—政治经济学]

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