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从欧洲主权债危机到全球主权债危机 被引量:48

From European Sovereign Debt Crisis to a Possible Global Sovereign Debt Crisis
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摘要 文章讨论了欧洲主权债务危机的发展与原因。由于作为一个整体的欧元地区的国际收支状况相对较好,只要欧元区的主要国家,特别是德国,坚持欧洲一体化、不放弃欧元,希腊和一些欧元区国家完全可以从此次危机中恢复过来。更令人担忧的是美国。美国的财政赤字急剧恶化和经常项目逆差居高不下。对于中国来说,美国的"双赤字"比欧洲主权债务危机更令人担心。作为美国最大的债权国,中国必须尽力减少美国双赤字对其经济和财政金融带来的可能的负面影响。 This article discusses the cause and development of the European sovereign debt crisis.Given the relatively sound external positions of the Euro zone economies as a whole,Greece and a few other European countries are set to recover from the fiscal crisis so long as the major Euro zone economies,especially Germany,stick to European integration and do not give up euro.In contrast,the US is beset by rapid increases in its fiscal deficit and continued deterioration of external positions.Hence,the US twin deficits(current account deficit and fiscal deficit) are more worrying for China than the European sovereign debt crisis.As the US government's biggest foreign creditor,China should try its best to minimize the possible impacts of the deterioration of American twin deficits on its economic financial stability.
作者 余永定
出处 《国际经济评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第6期14-24,共11页 International Economic Review
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  • 1FT, "Europe's interbank lending hits one-year high", By Jennifer Hughes in London and Michael Mackenzie in New York Published: August 5 2010.
  • 2www. bloomberg, com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=apSz28ifLL9U,2010年2月7日.
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  • 10德国《明镜周刊》.

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