摘要
本文以实测４２年径流资料为基础，分别采用季节性ＡＲ（１）、季节性ＡＲ（２）、季节性ＡＲ（３）、季节性ＡＲ（１）－ＡＲ（２）混合和季节性ＡＲ（１）－ＡＲ（２）－ＡＲ（３）混合模型对渔洞水库径流过程进行随机模拟，得出１００个样本，最后通过对所得径流样本进行各种参数的统计分析，推荐出最佳模型。
This paper carried out the random simulation of the Yudong reservoir runoff process by using seasonal AR(1), seasonal AR(2), seasonal AR(3), seasonal(1) and seasonal(2) combined, and seasonal AR(1)-AR(2)-AR(3) combined models on the basis of 42-year's runoff data, then obtained 100 samples and finally recommended the best models through statistic analysis of various parameters of the obtained runoff samples.
出处
《云南水力发电》
1999年第1期8-13,共6页
Yunnan Water Power
关键词
水库
径流
随机模拟
入库径流
Yudong reservoir runoff random simulation
