“零利率下限”情形下如何应对经济衰退?
被引量:5
摘要
零利率下限问题一直是宏观经济政策研究中的前沿问题。大萧条时期的美国,上世纪90年代后期起至今的日本以及近期次债危机后的多个发达国家都被这一问题所困扰。本文首先对零利率下限问题的内涵、经济影响及产生背景进行了探讨,然后系统分析了零利率下限情形下应对经济萧条的措施,并对零利率下限问题的规避提出了政策建议。
出处
《经济学动态》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第8期96-101,共6页
Economic Perspectives
参考文献26
-
1Buiter, W. H. and N. Panigirtzoglou (2000), " Liquidity Traps: How to Avoid Them and How to Escape Them", Bank of England Working Paper, 11.
-
2Buiter, W. H. (2009), "Negative Nominal Interest Rates: Three ways to overcome the zero lower bound", NBER Working Paper No. 15118.
-
3Christiano, L. , R. Motto, and M. Rostagno (2004), "The Great Depression and the Friedman--Schwartz Hypothesis. " Discussion Paper, Northwestern University and the European Central Bank.
-
4Eggertsson, G. B. and M. Woodford (2003), "The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, pp. 139--211.
-
5Eggertsson, G. B. (2008), "Great Expectations and the End of the Depression," American Economic Review 98 (4): 1476 - 1516.
-
6Eggertsson, G. B. (2009), "What Fiscal Policy Is Effective n ? tl at Zero Interest t-ates. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports No. 402.
-
7Fisher, I. (1896), "Appreciation and Interest", in.- Publications of the American Economic Association, XI, Macmillan.
-
8Goodfriend, M. (2000), " Overcoming the Zero Bound on Interest Rate Policy", Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, Vol. 32, No. 4, pages 1007-- 35, November.
-
9Iwamura, M. , T. Kudo, and T. Watanabe (2005), "Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap: The Japanese Experience 1999- 2004", NBER Working Paper No. 11151.
-
10Krugman, P. (1998), "It's Back: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, pp. 137--187.
同被引文献65
-
1王来福,郭峰.货币政策对房地产价格的动态影响研究——基于VAR模型的实证[J].财经问题研究,2007(11):15-19. 被引量:133
-
2Adjemian,S. ,and M. Juillard,2014," Assessing Long Run Risk in a DSGE Model under ZLB with the Stochastic Extended Path Approach" ,ESRI-CEPREMAP Discussion Paper.
-
3Baurle, G. ,and D. Kaufmann,2013 "Exchange Rate and Price Dynamics in a Small Open Economy-The Role of the Zero Lower Bound and Monetary Policy Regimes" ,Swiss National Bank Working Paper.
-
4Bean, C. , M. Paustian,and A. Penalver,2010," Monetary Policy after the Fall", Maeroeconomic Challenges : The Decade Ahead, 26-28.
-
5Bhansali, V. , M. P. Dorsten, and M. B. Wise ,2009," Asymmetric Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve", Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 28 ( 8 ) , 1408-1425.
-
6Bodenstein,M. ,C. J. Erceg, and L. Guerrieri, 2010," The Effects of Foreign Shocks When Interest Rates Are at Zero", Centre for Economic Policy Research.
-
7Chung,H. ,J. Laforte, and D. Reifschneider, 2012, " Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?" ,Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , Vol. 44( sl ) ,47-82.
-
8Clarida,R. H. ,2012,"What Has-and Has Not-Been Learned about Monetary Policy in a Low-Inflation Environment? A Review of the 2000 s", Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 44 ( sl ) , 123-140.
-
9Coibion,O. ,Y. Gorodnichenko,and J. Wieland,2012, "The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models: Should Central Banks Raise Their Inflation Targets in Light of the Zero Lower Bound .9", Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 79 ( 4 ) , 1371 - 1406.
-
10Fern6ndez, V. J. , G. Gordon, and P. A. Guerr6n,2012," Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound", National Bureau of Economic Research.
引证文献5
-
1李蕊.非传统货币政策的溢出效应与国际协调[J].国际观察,2014(2):135-146. 被引量:2
-
2马理,娄田田.基于零利率下限约束的宏观政策传导研究[J].经济研究,2015,50(11):94-105. 被引量:53
-
3刘尧成,庄雅淳.零利率下限约束、供求冲击与中国经济波动[J].首都经济贸易大学学报,2019,21(1):24-32. 被引量:2
-
4陈长石,刘晨晖.棚户区改造、非常规货币政策与房地产价格[J].财贸经济,2019,40(7):143-159. 被引量:15
-
5魏玮,张兵.美国零利率下限约束的经济效应研究[J].亚太经济,2021(4):43-52. 被引量:2
二级引证文献71
-
1邢毓静,蓝天.货币政策、宏观审慎与财政政策协调——基于零利率下限约束的视角[J].上海金融,2022(2):2-12. 被引量:1
-
2马理,文程浩.美国利率调整和税率调整的影响与我国应对措施研究[J].经济研究,2021,56(1):172-190. 被引量:37
-
3王胜,周上尧.零利率下限、汇率传递与货币政策[J].统计研究,2018,35(12):26-44. 被引量:11
-
4刘莉,林瑶.美国货币政策对中国货币政策溢出效应的实证研究及比较分析[J].经济师,2014(12):105-108. 被引量:1
-
5肖争艳,刘哲希,邓敏婕.新常态下货币政策价格型调控有效吗?[J].世界经济文汇,2016(2):59-79. 被引量:8
-
6陈享光,黄泽清.2015年我国宏观经济研究的最新进展[J].当代经济管理,2016,38(10):1-7. 被引量:2
-
7黄宪,范薇.金融发展的动力何在?——基于金融业和实业互动视角的不同模式比较[J].世界经济研究,2016(10):20-31. 被引量:3
-
8宋全云,吴雨,钱龙.存款准备金率与中小企业贷款成本——基于某地级市中小企业信贷数据的实证研究[J].金融研究,2016(10):64-78. 被引量:18
-
9陈利锋.内部人势力、失业呆滞与货币政策——基于包含非正规部门的NK-DSGE模型[J].经济科学,2016(6):47-62. 被引量:11
-
10杨光,李力,郝大鹏.零利率下限、货币政策与金融稳定[J].财经研究,2017,43(1):41-50. 被引量:21
-
1靳玉英,张志栋.非传统货币政策解析——以美国的该政策实践为例[J].国际金融研究,2010(10):11-20. 被引量:17
-
2伍聪.“负利率”问题研究的演进与新进展[J].经济理论与经济管理,2012,32(9):55-63. 被引量:13
-
3匡可可,张明.货币政策前瞻性指引:实施原理、主要类型、国际经验及其对中国的启示[J].金融评论,2015,7(4):92-109. 被引量:16
-
4斯坦利.费希尔,司马亚玺,熊艳春.货币政策、金融稳定与零利率下限[J].国际金融,2016(3):27-30. 被引量:1
-
5彭芸.美联储“前瞻性指导”的政策实践及其效应分析[J].金融与经济,2016,0(12):40-43. 被引量:2
-
6赵晓斐,杨秀萍.非传统货币政策研究——以美国实践为例[J].福建金融,2013(11):41-44.
-
7刘东庆.零利率下限视角下宽松货币政策效应研究[J].西北工业大学学报(社会科学版),2014,34(3):25-28.
-
8张康明,姜寒.美联储非常规货币政策对中美两国经济的影响[J].湖北经济学院学报(人文社会科学版),2015,12(2):34-35.
-
9徐璐,王振兴,陈国权.量化宽松货币政策国际经验研究[J].海南金融,2014(1):23-27. 被引量:2
-
10比托尔·康斯坦西奥,谢瑞芬,门超.货币政策分化与世界经济[J].中国金融,2016(1):19-21. 被引量:1