摘要
卫生投资对区域经济增长存在着双向影响,所以普通的回归方法很难揭示出卫生投资对区域经济增长的真正影响。文章采用1998—2008年我国省、直辖市、自治区的相关数据,建立卫生投资与地区经济增长的PVAR模型,在此基础上分析卫生投资与地区经济增长的相互影响关系。研究发现卫生投资与经济增长之间在长期存在的较强的单向因果关系,在长期,卫生投资是经济增长的Granger原因;在短期,卫生投资与经济增长则存在着双向的因果关系。
Since the investment in health care has double influence on the growth of regional economic,it is difficult to reveal the true influence of the investment in health care on the growth of regional economic,through using the common regression method.In the paper,the related data of the province,municipalities and autonomous regions from 1998 to 2008 were used to build the PVAR model between the investment in health care and the growth of regional economic,and on this basis the interrelation between them was analyzed.The results showed that there was a long term and significant one-way causality between the investment in health care and the growth of regional economy,and in the long term,the former was the Granger reason that lead to the latter.While in the short term,the investment in health care and the growth of regional economic were reciprocal Granger reason,that is,there exists double causality between them.
出处
《中国卫生经济》
北大核心
2010年第8期26-29,共4页
Chinese Health Economics
基金
2010年度国家社科基金青年项目"中国城乡公共卫生经济系统投入产出绩效时比研究"
国家教育部重点研究基地重大项目(08JJD790153)
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(08JC790045
09YJC790118)
吉林省社会科学基金项目(2008Bjjx01)
中国博士后科学基金特别资助(200902493)
吉林大学"985工程""中国经济分析与预测哲学社会科学创新基地"资助
关键词
卫生投资
经济增长
面板向量自回归模型
investment in health care
economic growth
panel vector autoregression model
