摘要
运用协整理论对广西1978～2007年间的数据进行分析表明:广西经济增长与产业结构之间存在长期的动态均衡关系,经济增长与第二、三产业的发展相互促进,广西经济增长与第二、三产业结构之间互为双向因果关系,广西经济增长与第二、三产业产出在GDP中的比重成同向变动关系,而与第一产业产出在GDP中的比重成反向变动关系;第三产业产出对GDP的影响最大。
This paper employs the measurement of cointegration test shows that there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between industrial structure economic growth from the date of 1978-2007 in Guangxi .They are as follows： There is a causal and mutual promotion relationship between economic and second and third industrial structure.There is a positive relationship between the GDP and output of second and third industrial.There is a negative relationship between economic and first industrial.And so on,Output of third industrial is the most important factor for GDP in Guangxi.
出处
《特区经济》
北大核心
2010年第7期200-201,共2页
Special Zone Economy
基金
广西教育厅科研资助项目阶段性成果(项目编号:200911M278)
广西民族师范学院科研经费资助项目(项目编号:南专科研自然字(2008)第04号)的部分研究成果
关键词
产业结构
经济增长
协整
误差修正模型
格兰杰因果关系
industrial structure
economic growth
cointegration
error correction model
Granger test of causality
