摘要
本文基于VAR模型、协整分析和Granger因果检验等动态分析方法,分析了广东省金融发展与产业结构之间的关系。结果表明:广东省金融发展能促进产业结构升级,而产业结构的升级对金融发展影响很小;农业发展对金融发展影响显著,而金融发展没能有效地带动农业发展,并且长期和短期之间相互影响关系不一致。
Based on VAR model,co-integration theory and Granger-causality test,this paper analyses the relationship between financial development and industrial structure upgrading in Guangdong Province.The result shows that financial development can promote industrial upgrading,but industrial upgrading exerts a slight influence on financial development;Agriculture does affect financial development,which has failed to effectively promote the development of agriculture,and the short-term and long-term relations between industrial structure and financial development are inconsistent.
出处
《特区经济》
北大核心
2010年第6期29-30,共2页
Special Zone Economy
关键词
金融发展
产业结构
协整
GRANGER因果检验
financial development
industrial structure
co-integration
Granger-causality test
