摘要
基于GDP产业结构贡献统计的多部门经济模型分析了1952—2007年江苏省产业结构对经济增长贡献的时间趋势特征;以截面数据为基础得出三大地区和13地级市产业结构对经济增长贡献的空间地域差异。研究表明:总体上产业结构变动对经济增长贡献呈3次波动的下降趋势,波动周期逐渐收敛;空间上三大地区产业结构调整贡献的变化遵循由南向北的梯度推移规律,与各地区的经济发展阶段基本吻合;市际间差异明显,通过K-means聚类分为4种不同类型,产业结构贡献的空间格局重心开始转移。
The article analyses the contribution of industrial structure by using the calculation method of multi- ple industries which is based on the contribution of industrial structure . It firstly analyses the evolution characteris- tics on the contribution of industrial structure change to economic growth from 1952 to 2007 ; then analyses the re- gional differences in three big region and 13 region of Jiangsu Province which based on Cross-section data . The re- sults show that the contribution is decreasing in the context of three major fluctuations , while in the internal change shows small fluctuations which are in convergence trend . At space dimension , the contribution of three big region follows the gradient law that from south to north , in coincide with the economic development stage . What is more , the differences of regional industrial contribution are obvious and the progress of contribution is different among dif- ferent regions , we can classify four different styles , the spatial focus also has two big shifts . With the results we have a correct understanding of the temporal and spatial evolution ,which can provide an important basis for regional coordination.
出处
《地域研究与开发》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第3期19-24,共6页
Areal Research and Development
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(40871077)
关键词
产业结构变动
经济增长
贡献
时空差异
江苏省
industrial structure change
economic growth
contribution
temporal-spatial difference
Jiangsu Province
