摘要
依据CPI能反映与居民生活有关的商品和劳务价格变动的宏观经济指标,借助EVIEWS软件,采用1990年1月至2009年11月中国消费者价格指数的月度数据,建立乘积季节ARIMA时间序列模型,并分析了中国消费价格指数随时间推移的变化规律。研究结果表明:中国消费者价格指数的发展变化情况具有明显的趋势性和季节性。根据这一结果,结合现实提出建议,希望政府能在制定政策时要遵循客观的原则。
Based on the fact that CPI can be the indicators of the price which reflects the lives of residents of goods and services related to,with the EVIEWS software,using January 1990 to July 2008 China＇s consumer price index monthly data,this paper creates a product seasonal ARIMA time series models and analysis of Variation which is China＇s consumer price index over time.The results show that the development of China＇s consumer price index has an obvious trend and seasonal.According to the results and the practical suggestions,the government＇s policy must follow the objective principle.
出处
《辽宁工程技术大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
北大核心
2010年第A01期130-132,共3页
Journal of Liaoning Technical University (Natural Science)
