摘要
国际航运中心和国际金融中心在全球经济发展中扮演着重要角色,国际航运中心和国际金融中心之间具有密切的相互关系。但是,两者的因果关系并没有数量上的充分验证。文章对改革开放30年来上海相关行业的历史数据进行了计量分析,研究发现:上海航运和金融业之间存在相互影响,从短期来看,航运是金融的Granger原因的程度更大,而从长期来看,金融是航运的Granger原因的程度更大。
As far as a city named international financial center and shipping center is concerned,there are always close relations between financial sector and shipping sector.With the historical data from 1978 to 2007 since Chinese economy reform and opening-up,this paper empirically inves-tigates the causal relations of financial and shipping sector and comes to the conclusion that there are surely interdependence between two sector.In a short term,shipping is the granger causality of financial more,and in a long run,financial is granger causality of shipping more.
出处
《当代经济管理》
2010年第5期79-83,共5页
Contemporary Economic Management
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(09YJC790185)资助
上海市教委支出预算项目(20080104)
上海市教委科研创新项目(09YS254)
中国海洋发展研究中心重点项目(AOCQN200909)资助
