摘要
本文根据协整理论,利用年度经济数据对我国农业保险同农业GDP等变量的关系进行了实证分析。分析表明,农业GDP同我国农业保险深度不存在因果关系,而农业成灾面积占播种面积的比重和单位成灾面积农业保险赔款是影响我国农业保险深度的原因。最后针对我国农业保险的深化提出政策建议。
This paper empirically analyses the relationship of the agricultural insurance and the agricultural GDP et cetera variable according to co-integrated theory,employing on yearly economic data.The analysis shows there is no caused relationship between the agricultural GDP and the depth of agricultural insurance,but the percentage of disaster areas to the total sown areas and the agricultural insurance payment per disaster areas are the causes that impact the depth our agricultural insurance.Finally,some suggestions are put forward to depth of our agricultural insurance.
出处
《特区经济》
北大核心
2010年第5期180-181,共2页
Special Zone Economy
关键词
农业保险
协整理论
VEC模型
Agricultural insurance
Co-integration theory
VEC model
