摘要
风险评价是科研院所R&D人力资本投资风险管理的重要内容。针对现有评价方法在指标权重设置方面的缺陷,本文将突变理论应用于科研院所R&D人力资本投资风险评价中,并对突变综合评价方法进行改进,以提高综合评价结果的分辨水平。应用实例分析结果表明该方法能够清晰地反映评价值的等级和大小,且计算出的风险值的分布更趋于合理。
Risk evaluation is an important content of risk management for R ＆ D human capital investment in scientific research institutrons. In order to solve the flaws of traditional methods in weight setting of indices, catastrophe theory is applied to investment risk evaluation for R^D human capital investment in scientific research institutions in this paper. Furthermore,the catastrophe comprehensive evaluation method is improved as to increase the distinguishing level to comprehensive evaluation results. The application example indicates that the proposed method can clearly reflect the evaluation grade and the calculated risk distribution is more reasonable.
出处
《技术经济》
2010年第4期6-11,共6页
Journal of Technology Economics
关键词
风险评价
突变理论
R&D人力资本
科研院所
risk evaluation
catastrophe theory
R＆D human capital
scientific research institutions
