摘要
本文以近9年西藏自治区农村居民人均生活消费支出为研究对象,应用灰色系统理论建立了人均消费支出指标发展趋势的GM(1,1)预测模型,分析得出:在未来四年中西藏农村人均生活消费支出平均年增长率预计达到14.2%。运用关联度分析方法确定了反映农村居民消费水平的8项主要统计指标因素相对于消费支出的关联程度,对影响消费支出的主要指标因素进行了系统分析。
Based on the data of Per capita consumption expenditure in Tibet in 9 years,we built the GM（1,1） forecast model applying the Grey System Theory. The results predicted that the average annual growth rate of per capita consumption expenditure in Tibet rural area will ascend to 14. 2% in the next four years. Besides,we drew the correlation between Per capita consumption expenditure and major eight indicators,and also we analyzed the main indicators of the factors affecting Per capita consumption expenditure.
出处
《统计研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第4期79-82,共4页
Statistical Research
关键词
西藏农村居民
GM(1
1)
消费支出
关联度
因素分析
Tibet rural residents
GM（1
1）
Consumption expenditures
Relational Grade
Factor analysis
