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地震活动性的定量化及其在地震中短期预报中的应用 被引量:7

SEISMISITY QUANTIFICATION AND ITS APPLICATION TO MEDIUM SHORT TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
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摘要 在分析描述地震活动性的各类参数的基础上,认为Ab值可以较好地定量描述一个地区的地震活动增强和平静特征。本文使用1972~1996年期间华北地区地震资料进行Ab值的空间扫描,研究中强以上地震前的中短期异常变化。结果表明在中短期阶段,半数震例的Ab值中期异常区出现明显的缩小或消失,也有少量地震在临震前1~3个月再次出现明显增大。文中还就Ab值进行中短期预报的有关问题进行了讨论。 Based on the analysis of various types of seismicity parameters, it is considered that the strength and quiet characteristics of a region seismicity are better described quantitatively using Ab value The space scan of Ab values was completed with 1972~1996 earthquake data of north China region to study medium short term anomalous variety before a moderate or strong earthquake It is concluded that the Ab value medium term anomalous area of half of the earthquake cases obviously contracted or disappeared in the medium short term, and obviously enlarged also again in 1~3 months before a few earthquakes The problem of earthquake prediction is discussed based on the Ab value
出处 《地震学刊》 CSCD 1998年第4期1-9,共9页 Journal of Seismology
基金 国家地震局95-04项目
关键词 地震活动性 Ab值 地震预报 短期预报 定量化 seismicity Ab value earthquake prediction
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