摘要
全球石油市场处于供大于求的状态,美国和欧洲的石油需求可能已达到高峰,而亚洲新兴国家和其他一些地区的石油需求不断增长,油气供应的目标市场从西方转移到东方。东西方炼油业呈现出不同的发展趋势。美国和欧洲炼厂的开工率处于历史低位。由于需求前景暗淡,产能过剩,西方炼厂出现倒闭、产能闲置、新建项目推迟投产,也有一些炼厂打算出售资产。与此相反,亚洲发展中国家和中东地区的炼油产能将继续扩大,据欧佩克预计,2030年全球新增炼油产能1800×104bbl/d中有1000×104bbl/d来自于亚洲地区。东方一些石油公司正在考虑收购西方公司的炼厂。由于经济、气候变化、市场需求和立法等因素,美国和西方一些炼油企业将面临有史以来最为严峻的形势,但一些大型化、现代化,并能加工各种等级原油,不断降低生产成本和排放水平的炼厂将能得以生存与发展。
Global oil supplies are outpacing consumption,peak demand in the US and Europe may have already been reached and rising demand in emerging nations in Asia and elsewhere has stolen the spotlight from Western markets.The refining tends between the East and the West have shown division.US and European refineries are currently running at historically low rates.Western refinery closures,sales,capacity idling and project delays are ＂inevitable＂ in light of poor demand outlook.In contrast,developing Asia and Middle East will continue adding capacity as fuel demand increases.OPEC expects Asia to account for 1000×10^4bbl/d of 1800×10^4bbl/d of new refining capacity to be built worldwide by 2030.Some eatern oil companies are considering purchase of western refineires.Due to a combination of economic,climate change,market demand and legislation factors ,refiners in the US and elsewhere are facing what could be the most challenging set of circumstances the industry has ever seen and the survivors will be large,modern plants with the flexibility to process a wide range of crude grades efficiently enough to save energy costs and keep emissions at a minimum.
出处
《中外能源》
CAS
2010年第1期86-89,共4页
Sino-Global Energy
关键词
炼油业
东西方
石油需求
开工率
产能过剩
大型化
refining industry
East and West
oil demand
operating rate
overcapacity
increasingly large refining
