摘要
城市生活垃圾未来产量和组分数据是城市固体废物分类和处置科学决策的依据。文章以朝阳区为例，利用灰色模型和回归分析分别对垃圾产量和组分进行预测．结果表明，朝阳区未来4年生活垃圾的产量仍为上升趋势，组分中灰土含量逐渐下降，可燃成分（包括纸类、塑料、织物和木竹）的比例逐渐增加，厨余垃圾所占比例依然较大，并且随后几年不会有太大的变化。
The quantity and composition of municipal solid waste （MSW） in the future was the basis of MSW sorting and treatment and scientific decision. Taking Chaoyang district as an example, the grey model and regression analysis were used for the prediction of municipal solid waste quantity and composition. The results showed that the quantity of MSW in Chaoyang would still increase in the next 4 years, while the dust content would decrease. The proportion of combustible component including paper, plastics, cotton and wood will increase gradually. The proportion of kitchen waste was high and it will not change in the next future.
出处
《环境科学与技术》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2009年第B12期336-338,共3页
Environmental Science & Technology
关键词
灰色预测
回归分析
生活垃圾
产量
组分
grey model
regression analysis
MSW
quantity
composition
