摘要
2008年第14号强台风"黑格比"是12年来袭击粤西最强的台风,由于它移动速度快、登陆强度强,给粤西沿海带来了严重的风暴潮灾害,珠江口至阳江一带有多个潮位站的高潮位超过历史极值。本文根据珠江口、粤西、雷州半岛等几个潮位站资料探讨了"黑格比"台风的风暴增水特征;利用国家海洋环境预报中心业务化的风暴潮集合预报模式对本次过程进行了模拟,并分析了模拟效果。
NO.0814 typhoon ＂Hagupit＂ is the strongest typhoon landing in west Guangdong province since 1996. It had caused severe storm surge disaster due to its high speed and strong intensity, and many stations along west mouth of Pearl River to Yangjiang suffer over-record high-tides. This paper attempts to address the characteristics of storm surge based on several stations tide data. Moreover, the testing operational typhoon numerical ensemble storm surge forecast model is used to simulate the surge values, and the results are evaluated.
出处
《海洋预报》
2009年第4期68-75,共8页
Marine Forecasts
基金
"十一.五"国家科技攻关项目"近海重大海洋灾害预警关键技术研究"(编号:2006BAC03B01)
关键词
0814台风
风暴增水特征
风暴潮集合预报模式
No.0814 typhoon
storm surge characteristics
typhoon numerical ensemble storm surge model
