摘要
在金融危机背景下,扩大投资被认为是拉动我国国民经济发展的重要引擎之一。应用格兰杰因果分析法,对我国1985年～2008年的公路建设与国民经济发展数据进行定量分析可知,公路建设和国民经济发展之间具有长期稳定的相互因果关系,加快公路建设对拉动国民经济发展的效果显著。
Under the global financial crisis, enlarging the scare of investment is considered as one of the engines of national economy development. Based on the annual data from 1985 to 2008 about the highway construction and national economy development in China, the paper used granger causality test and co-integration analysis to prove their causality relationship and the importance of the highway construction promoting the national economy development.
出处
《交通标准化》
2009年第22期72-74,共3页
Communications Standardization
关键词
公路
GDP
格兰杰因果检验
协整分析
highway
GDP
Granger causality test
Co-integration analysis
