摘要
城市出租车需求来源于社会活动的需要,深圳特区外出租车的需求受到该地区经济发展水平、人口数量、土地规模、运输价格等多种因素的影响。文中介绍了城市出租车类比分析的原理和方法,并建立了城市出租车类比分析预测模型,通过运用类比城市实际的数据,预测了深圳市特区外出租车的目前和远景需求量。
The need for city taxis comes from the social-economic activities in the area. In general, the demand of taxi running outside Shenzhen Special Zone is affected by several key factors, such as the level of economic development, population, land size, transportation prices and other factors. This paper presents analog principles and methods to estab- lish a city taxi model. It can be applied to quantitatively predicting the current and long-term demand of taxi running out- side Shenzhen Special Zone.
出处
《交通信息与安全》
2009年第5期19-23,共5页
Journal of Transport Information and Safety
基金
广东省高校人文社会科学规划研究项目(批准号:04GH79012)资助
关键词
出租车
需求预测
指数平滑
类比分析
taxi
demand foreeast
exponential smoothing
analog method
