摘要
本文验证了W.H.Lee提出的社会网络分析指标在学科研究趋势预测中应用的结论,利用社会网络分析的中心性指标对数字图书馆领域的研究趋势进行了分析和预测,认为"多媒体"可能成为数字图书馆领域未来的研究趋势之一。研究结果表明,利用中心性指标可以揭示出学科研究趋势,但是就目前的研究结果来看,单纯的社会网络分析指标不能很好地识别学科领域的研究趋势,应与其他方法相结合来进行趋势预测研究。
This paper verifies the conclusion that Social Network Analysis （SNA） indicators put forward by W. H. Lee can be used to predict the research trend of the subject. The paper analyzes and predicts the research trend of the digital library field by the use of the centrality indicators of SNA, and believes that ＂muhimedia＂ may become one of the research trends in future in the digital library field. The research results show that the centrality indicators of SNA can be used to reveal the research trend of the subject, however, in accordance with the present research resuhs, pure SNA indicators can not identify the research trend of the subject satisfactorily, they must be combined with the other method in predicting the research trend of the subject.
出处
《情报理论与实践》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第9期79-83,共5页
Information Studies:Theory & Application
关键词
数字图书馆
社会网络分析
研究趋势
digital library
social network analysis
research trend
