摘要
奥运会与全运会都是综合性运动会，都存在东道主效应，在关于奥运会东道主效应研究的基础上，运用文献研究法、数理统计法，以全运会、奥运会东道主比赛成绩为研究对象，对东道主效应进行量化分析和比较．结果表明：1）全运会明显存在东道主效应现象，而且东道主效应可能会引起运动成绩1．5倍的提高．2）东道主效应在奥运会中能延续到下一届，平均能提高到原来的1．2倍，全运会的东道主效应几乎回到原来的水平．3）依据山东省的整体实力，第十一届全运会山东的奖牌积分预计会达到387～475分，金牌预计超过50枚左右．
The Olympic Games and the National Games are intergrated sport games,both of which have home advantage effect. By means of literature and data statistics, this paper analyzes and compares the competition results of the National Games and those of the Olympic Games so as to make a quantitative analysis of home advan- tage effect. The result shows that ： 1 ） the obvious home advantage in the National Games may improve sport performance by 1.5 times ;2） home advantage can continue to next Olympic Games with sport performance increases by 1.2 times while it can not do the same in the National Games ;3） according to the strength of Shandong province ,the number of medals in the 11th National Games may reach 387-475, and more than 50 are golden medals.
出处
《许昌学院学报》
CAS
2009年第5期69-72,共4页
Journal of Xuchang University
关键词
全运会
东道主效应
实证分析
National Games
home advantage effect
empirical analysis
