摘要
本文利用多元时间序列方法,分析了河南省旅游业发展与第三产业经济增长的互动关系。结果表明,旅游业发展与第三产业经济增长之间存在一种长期稳定的协整关系和双向的Granger因果关系;第三产业对国内旅游业发展的贡献较大,同时国内旅游对第三产业的贡献也较大,但国际旅游业对第三产业贡献较小的结论。对于旅游业发展与第三产业经济增长关系的研究,为河南旅游业发展制定政策提供了一定的科学依据。
This paper using multi - time series analyzes the relationship between tourism development and the economic growth of tertiary industry in Henan province. We found that there is a long term stability cointegration relationship between them. And there are bidirectional granger causalities between tourism development and economic growth of tertiary industry ; Tertiary industry contributes more to domestic tourism development than to international tourism. Domestic tourism contributes more to tertiary industry, accordingly. However, international tourism contributes less to the tertiary industry .This conclusion offers a reference to make policies for tourism in Henan province.
出处
《安阳师范学院学报》
2009年第4期31-33,共3页
Journal of Anyang Normal University
基金
河南省软科学项目(编号:082400450030)
关键词
旅游业
第三产业
经济增长
tourism
tertiary industry
econonfic growth
