摘要
利用多元回归分析方法,分阶段验证了1980—2007年大学和中学毕业生人数与我国城镇就业之间的相关关系。结果表明,在1980—1994年和1995—2007年阶段,大学毕业生人数与城镇就业之间均呈现出显著正相关关系;中学毕业生人数与就业在第一阶段不相关,在第二阶段呈现出正相关关系,而且中学毕业生增长率提高带来的就业增长率提高幅度远远大于大学毕业生增长率提高带来的结果。因此,建议通过普及12年义务教育的方式扩大中学教育规模,逐渐改变教育结构,为产业结构升级准备人才。
Through the multiple regression analysis method, this article verified the relationship between the number of graduates from universities and secondary schools and China＇s urban employment in1980-2007 in stages. The results show that： In the years 1980- 1994 and 1995-2007 ,the relationship of The number of university graduates and the urban employment presented a significant posi- tive correlation, the number of secondary school graduates is not related to employment in the first phase, but presented a positive correlation in the second phase, The extent of increasing growth rate of employment rate brought by secondary school graduates is much larger than the growth rate of university graduates. Therefore, we should popularize compulsory education for 12 years to expand the size of secondary education, changing the educational structure, and prepare personnel for the upgrading of the industry.
出处
《西北人口》
CSSCI
2009年第5期65-68,共4页
Northwest Population Journal
关键词
城镇就业
大学毕业生人数
中学毕业生人数
Urban employment
the number of university graduates
the number of secondary school graduates
