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基于Monte_Carlo法多模相关结构失效概率计算

The Failure Probability with Multi Failure Mode Based on Monte Carlo Method
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摘要 针对具有多失效模式的结构系统,考虑失效模式间的相关关系,应用蒙特卡罗法(monte_carlo)求解具有多失效模式的结构系统的失效概率,给出计算框图和计算步骤。利用MATLAB软件的概率统计工具函数对随机变量进行抽样模拟。通过实例计算比较了窄界限法与蒙特卡罗法,分析了蒙特卡罗法在求解多模相关结构可靠性问题中的优点。 In connection with the structural system of MFM (Multi failure mode) and the correlation among MFM, by Monte Carlo method, failure probability in the system of MFM is solved and the calculation diagram and calculation steps are given. By means of the probability and statistics function in Mat lab, the sample of random variables is simulated. With the example calculated, the narrow limit method is compared with the Monte Carlo method, the merits of the Monte Carlo method is analyzed in solving the reliability issues of the structure of multi-mode.
出处 《江苏理工学院学报》 2009年第2期71-75,共5页 Journal of Jiangsu University of Technology
基金 国家自然科学基金资助项目(50805070)
关键词 多模失效 蒙特卡罗法 失效相关 MATLAB 失效概率 multi failure mode Monte Carlo failure correlation Mat lab failure probability
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