摘要
2015年7月，人类将从此踏上万劫不复的地狱之旅，战争、瘟疫、干旱、洪水、饥荒、飓风和孩子的哭泣……向着无路可逃的末日劫难一路走去，如果净碳排放7年内依然无法稳定，等待着的将是不可逆转的恶性循环和撒旦诡异的微笑。（世界著名自然灾难专家，比尔·麦克古尔，《7年拯救地球》，2008）
July 2015,mankind will then embark on trip to hell and beyond redemption,war,pestilence,drought,flood,famine,hurricanes and the child's crying......no way out but toward the end of disaster.If the net carbon emissions are yet not stable in 7 years,it is a vicious irreversible cycle and Satan strange smile that will be waiting for us.From now to 2015,there is only 6 years left for human reducing net carbon emissions.If the efforts fail,the Earth will face the largest catastrophe as the asteroid collision causing the extinction of dinosaurs since 6500 years ago.Most of the relevant scientists also confirm that human's extravagant will lead the Earth's atmosphere to a critical point of carbon dioxide concentration of 800ppm in 2050.From now on,the global carbon emissions must be reduced by 50% to 80%,amounting to 200 billion tons.To achieve this goal,the greenhouse gas emissions by 2015 must be reached steady state,and then began to decline year by year.More pessimistic view is that if human beings do not take the initiative moves to reduce carbon dioxide in the atmosphere,even if greenhouse gas emissions are cut by 90%,it is yet unable to prevent the extinction of mankind.
出处
《上海经济》
2009年第6期20-36,共17页
Shanghai Economy
