摘要
国际贸易是世界各国经济、政治、文化交流的重要纽带,是一个复杂时变的非线性系统。科学地分析与预测是作出正确的国际贸易决策的前提。对国际贸易非线性定量分析与预测方法的研究与应用现状进行评述,并讨论我国近年来的发展情况,以期为该方面的研究与应用者提供参考。
International trade is an important channel for the economic, political and cultural exchange of all countries in the world and is a complex time - varying nonlinear system. The analysis and forecast are the premise of making correct decision. This paper gives a review of research and application about the nonlinear quantitative analysis and the forecast methods of international trade. Especially, it discusses the development of our country in recent years so that it is helpful for the researchers in this aspect.
出处
《商业研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第9期150-153,共4页
Commercial Research
基金
上海市教育委员会重点科研项目
项目编号:06ZZ34
关键词
国际贸易
非线性经济学
经济预测
数据分析
评述
international trade
nonlinear economics
economic forecasting
data analysis
review
