摘要
2008年,在全球金融危机肆虐的大背景下,我国天然气工业仍然实现了平稳快速发展。2008年我国天然气产量为774.74亿立方米,同比增长12%;消费量为778亿立方米,同比增长了13%。天然气消费结构持续优化,城市燃气占消费总量的33.2%。西气东输二线(西段)超大型天然气管线建设拉开序幕,国家骨干管道增输工程全面实施;大连、江苏LNG接收站开工建设,新的进口LNG资源不断落实。受全球经济危机以及管道输送能力等因素的影响,预计2009年全国天然气消费量为850亿～870亿立方米,总体上仍处于供不应求局面。建议国家加强天然气定价机制的研究,针对2010年的大规模天然气进口,理顺国内天然气定价机制;适时调整天然气利用政策,重视天然气发电在拓展天然气市场中的作用;抓住目前LNG价格相对较低的有利时机,加快LNG国际贸易谈判步伐;在建设骨干管网的同时,加快支线和联络线的建设。
China's produced an approximate 77.474 bcm of natural gas in 2008, a year-on-year increase of 12%; consumption, totaling 77.8 bcm, was up 13% year-on-year. Optimization of consumption patterns continued, with residential gas fuel accounting for 33.2% of all consumption. Work began on the western segment of the second west-to-east gas pipeline, a massive undertaking; a nationwide effort to boost transmission over trunk lines was also underway. Construction also began on LNG terminals in Dalian and Jiangsu, and new LNG imports continued to find applications. Due to the global economic crisis, along with pipeline transmission capacity and other factors, nationwide natural gas consumption in 2009 is projected to total between 85 and 87 bcm; overall, demand will continue to exceed supply. China should devote more research to natural-gas pricing mechanisms, the authors argue, and streamline domestic pricing mechanisms in preparation for large-scale natural-gas imports in 2010. Usage policies should also be revised in a timely manner, with a focus on the role of gas-fired power generation in expanding the natural gas market. China should seize the opportunity presented by today’s relatively low LNG prices and step up the pace of international LNG trade negotiations. As the nation builds its main pipeline grid, it should also accelerate the construction of branch and connecting lines.
出处
《国际石油经济》
2009年第6期40-44,共5页
International Petroleum Economics
